How is the Internet Changing the Way You Think? – The Edge Annual Question – 2010

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Read any newspaper or magazine and you will notice the many flavors of the one big question that everyone is asking today. Or you can just stay on the page and read recent editions of Edge ...

Playwright Richard Foreman asks about the replacement of complex inner density with a new kind of self-evolving under the pressure of information overload and the technology of the "instantly available". Is it a new self? Are we becoming Pancake People — spread wide and thin as we connect with that vast network of information accessed by the mere touch of a button.

Technology analyst Nicholas Carr wrote the most notable of many magazine and newspaper pieces asking "Is Google Making Us Stupid". Has the use of the Web made it impossible for us to read long pieces of writing?

Social software guru Clay Shirky notes that people are reading more than ever but the return of reading has not brought about the return of the cultural icons we'd been emptily praising all these years. "What's so great about War and Peace?, he wonders. Having lost its actual centrality some time ago, the literary world is now losing its normative hold on culture as well. Is the enormity of the historical shift away from literary culture now finally becoming clear?

Science historian George Dyson asks "what if the cost of machines that think is people who don't?" He wonders "will books end up back where they started, locked away in monasteries and read by a select few?".

Web 2.0 pioneer Tim O'Reilly, ponders if ideas themselves are the ultimate social software. Do they evolve via the conversations we have with each other, the artifacts we create, and the stories we tell to explain them?

Frank Schirrmacher, Feuilleton Editor and Co-Publisher of Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung, has noticed that we are apparently now in a situation where modern technology is changing the way people behave, people talk, people react, people think, and people remember. Are we turning into a new species —informavores? — he asks.

W. Daniel Hillis goes a step further by asking if the Internet will, in the long run, arrive at a much richer infrastructure, in which ideas can potentially evolve outside of human minds? In other words, can we change the way the Internet thinks?

What do you think?


The Edge Annual Question — 2010

HOW IS THE INTERNET CHANGING THE WAY YOU THINK?


John Brockman
Editor & Publisher

via www.edge.org

If the Edge World Question Center is new to you, give yourself the gift of reading some truly thought provoking ideas you’ll find there.  The name and basis of the Edge Foundation, which started in 1988, is:

To arrive at the edge of the world’s knowledge, seek out the most complex and sophisticated minds, put them in a room together, and have them ask each other the questions they are asking themselves.

BBC Radio described The Edge (back in 2005) as "Fantastically stimulating ... It's like the crack cocaine of the thinking world.... Once you start, you can't stop thinking about that question."  My experience matches this and these questions are definitely cognitive crack for me!  so consider yourself warned:

The Edge World Question Center is SERIOUSLY ADDICTIVE!

I'm increasingly intrigued and delighted by the apparent resurgence of the Q&A (Question & Answer) format.  I've long been struck by the observation that great questions are more powerful than great answers, though I certainly want and need both.  You'll find plenty of both here in The Edge and with this most recent question of "How is the Internet Changing the Way You Think?"

My friend Erik Duval, who’s recent Tweet prompted me to read more of these answers, liked Harold Rheingold's answer of "Attention is the Fundamental Literacy" and his recollection of many of the thoughts from Doug Englebart such as:

From the beginning, Engelbart emphasized that the hardware and software created at his Stanford Research Institute laboratory, from the mouse to the hyperlink to the word processor, were part of a system that included "humans, language, artifacts, methodology and training." Long before the Web came along, Engelbart was frustrated that so much progress had been made in the capabilities of the artifacts, but so little study had been devoted to advancing the language, methodology and training — the literacies that necessarily accompany the technical capabilities.

and the need we all have for fundamental skills such as;

Crap detection — Hemingway's name for what digital librarians call credibility assessment — is another essential literacy. If all schoolchildren could learn one skill before they go online for the first time, I think it should be the ability to find the answer to any question and the skills necessary to determine whether the answer is accurate or not.

Some of the one’s I’ve read, an ongoing process, which stood out to me included:

Kevin Kelly's answer "AN INTERMEDIA WITH 2 BILLION SCREENS PEERING INTO IT"

Uncertainty is a kind of liquidity. I think my thinking has become more liquid. It is less fixed, as text in a book might be, and more fluid, as say text in Wikipedia might be. My opinions shift more. My interests rise and fall more quickly. I am less interested in Truth, with a capital T, and more interested in truths, plural. I feel the subjective has an important role in assembling the objective from many data points. The incremental plodding progress of imperfect science seems the only way to know anything.

And Kevin's observation that:

Rather than begin a question or hunch by ruminating aimlessly in my mind, nourished only by my ignorance, I start doing things. I immediately, instantly go.

I go looking, searching, asking, questioning, reacting to data, leaping in, constructing notes, bookmarks, a trail, a start of making something mine. I don't wait. Don't have to wait. I act on ideas first now instead of thinking on them.   For some folks, this is the worst of the Net — the loss of contemplation. Others feel that all this frothy activity is simply stupid busy work, or spinning of wheels, or illusionary action. I think to myself, compared to what?

Steward Brand's answer "One's Guild":

I couldn't function without them, and I suspect the same is true for nearly all effective people. By "them" I mean my closest intellectual collaborators. They are the major players in my social extended mind. How I think is shaped to a large degree by how they think.

Our association is looser than a team but closer than a cohort, and it's not a club or a workgroup or an elite. I'll call it a guild. Everyone in my guild runs their own operation, and none of us report to each other. All we do is keep close track of what each other is thinking and doing. Often we collaborate directly, but most of the time we don't. Everyone in my guild has their own guild---each of theirs largely different from mine. I'm probably not considered a member of some of them.

And Brian Eno noticing in his answer “The Authentic has Replaced the Reproducible” that:

I notice that everything the Net displaces reappears somewhere else in a modified form. For example, musicians used to tour to promote their records, but, since records stopped making much money due to illegal downloads, they now make records to promote their tours.

I notice that, as the Net provides free or cheap versions of things, 'the authentic experience' — the singular experience enjoyed without mediation — becomes more valuable. I notice that more attention is given by creators to the aspects of their work that can't be duplicated. The 'authentic' has replaced the reproducible.

I notice that almost all of us haven't thought about the chaos that would ensue if the Net collapsed.

I notice that my daily life has been changed more by my mobile phone than by the Internet.

As for my answer to this question of “How is the internet changing the way you think?”, if I had to condense it down to a single phrase or title, I’d say I wander more, I ponder more, I wonder more.

I don’t find that the net is changing the WAY I think, that is still as wonderfully weirdly Wayne as ever, however it is absolutely changing the quantity of WHAT I'm thinking about, and hopefully some of the quality. While there are many dimensions to this increased quantity of thinking, most specifically and powerfully for me, is that the internet supercharges my curiosity and exponentially increases my serendipity factor; the probability that I’m going unexpectedly discover and create completely new (to me) ideas, ways of thinking and perspectives. And this increase is exponential because as I pursue these serendipitous discoveries they lead me to more things I become serendipitously curious about and pursue.

I embrace this change.  I purposefully let myself go.  I wander more, both literally with my sailing around the world, which the internet has significantly enabled, and I figuratively wander more as I pursue these new questions and paths.   I wonder more in that I'm continuously led to ask new questions, to wonder "What if?" and "Why not" and I ponder more as I reflect more deeply on possible answers to these questions.  For me then, this is simply an exponentially increased form of learning, a way of living and I love it!

How is the internet changing the way I think? I wander more, I ponder more, I wonder more.

What’s YOUR answer?  How is the internet changing the way YOU think?

Jay Leno Replaces Old Car Parts Using 3-D Printer

Though still not priced at a mass consumer level, 3-D printing is a real technology that's currently being used by everyone from military surgeons to architects. The ability to produce rapid physical prototypes of just about any object is particularly useful for car collector Jay Leno, because broken parts of old cars are impossible to replace due to their age. A machinist could attempt to craft a new piece by hand, but the process is not only costly, it's also lacks the precision needed for such parts. In a story for Popular Mechanics, Leno details the process and benefits of printing new car parts and molds, and made a video with a live demonstration. What's more fascinating than printed, unmoving car parts, though, is the crescent wrench that Jay makes: the wheel that closes and opens the wrench actually moves and works just like it should, straight from the printer. If you want to print your own car parts, or perhaps some 'World of Warcraft' figurines, you'll need both a 3D scanner and the printer itself. The models used by Leno are the NextEngine 3D Scanner and the Dimension uPrint Personal 3D Printer, and cost $2995 and $15,000, respectively. Sure, it's still pretty pricey, but when you consider the fact that this technology cost hundreds of thousands of dollars just a few years ago, it shouldn't be too long before we see 3D printers at our local Best Buy. [From: Popular Mechanics]

via www.switched.com

Best Work/Fun and example of our DIY world I've seen!

I've become a big believer and practitioner of living a life where you can't distinguish when you are having fun and when you are working.  Want to see what that looks like?  This video is the best example I've seen and I haven't stopped smiling and thinking about it since I first saw it back in July.

Switched challenged Kegan Fisher and Liz Kinmar of Design Glut to design and make an object of their choosing in ONE DAY!  What i love about the video is the pure fun these two have throughout the whole design and make process.


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 On a larger scale and why I'm tracking these kind of developments, is the degree to which we are becoming a DIY society (Do It Yourself) and how this answers my incessant asking "What if the impossible isn't?".  In the video you see the MakerBot 3D printer being used to turn the idea and design Kegan and Liz came up with for their salt and pepper shakers into a real product as they more than met this challenge to go from design to product in one day.

Equally worth watching is how this is producing a whole new level of sharing, where now the design, development, drawings and models for making things are being shared.  You can for example now find a complete set of instructions and models for these cute S&P shakers over here on the Thingiverse site that the people behind MakerBot have also setup.  Spend a few minutes in Thingiverse and you'll quickly see what I mean by a whole new level of sharing.

It is also worth spending some time over on the MakerBot site and blog to learn a bit more about how this all came about, including their collaboration with the NYC Resistor, an electronics hacking collective in Brooklyn and in particular the RepRap project which is a research project to develop a self-replicating rapid prototyper.  That's right, a machine that could reproduce itself.  And one of the more intriguing things about this and what led to MakerBot was as they noted;

"but you have this chicken and egg problem. In order to make a machine that can reproduce itself, you have to HAVE a machine that’s reproduced itself. And so, we just wanted to make a 3D printer."



Moving up the scale of accuracy and price a notch watch the video above which comes from this recent
Popular Mechanics story of how Jay Leno is using 3D scanning and printing for one of his big passions; car restorations. The video demonstrates Jay's use  NextEngine 3D scanner and Dimension 3D printer
In the story, Jay commented:

Some guys are so used to working in the traditional ways. They’re old-school. So they’ve never seen this new technology in use—in fact, they’re not even aware it exists. When you work on old cars, you tend to work with old machinery like lathes, milling machines or English wheels. When someone tells you that you can take a crescent wrench, for example, scan it, then press a button, copy it, and make a new wrench, these guys say, “Well, that’s not possible. You can’t make the little wheel that moves the claw in and out. You’d have to make it in two sections.”   But they’re wrong. You can duplicate the whole tool. 


Snowflake Effect Headed to a Desk Near YOU!

The Snowflake Effect of mass customization and personalization is headed to YOUR desk!  Both the salt and pepper shakers and their original "egg pants" egg holders which inspired the design of the S&P shakers, are real commercial products which you can buy.  But as you can see in this video you will soon be able to design and make your own when you have a 3D printer on your desk!

The World Question Center 2010


Read any newspaper or magazine and you will notice the many flavors of the one big question that everyone is asking today. Or you can just stay on the page and read recent editions of Edge ...

Playwright Richard Foreman asks about the replacement of complex inner density with a new kind of self-evolving under the pressure of information overload and the technology of the "instantly available". Is it a new self? Are we becoming Pancake People — spread wide and thin as we connect with that vast network of information accessed by the mere touch of a button.

Technology analyst Nicholas Carr wrote the most notable of many magazine and newspaper pieces asking "Is Google Making Us Stupid". Has the use of the Web made it impossible for us to read long pieces of writing?

Social software guru Clay Shirky notes that people are reading more than ever but the return of reading has not brought about the return of the cultural icons we'd been emptily praising all these years. "What's so great about War and Peace?, he wonders. Having lost its actual centrality some time ago, the literary world is now losing its normative hold on culture as well. Is the enormity of the historical shift away from literary culture now finally becoming clear?

Science historian George Dyson asks "what if the cost of machines that think is people who don't?" He wonders "will books end up back where they started, locked away in monasteries and read by a select few?".

Web 2.0 pioneer Tim O'Reilly, ponders if ideas themselves are the ultimate social software. Do they evolve via the conversations we have with each other, the artifacts we create, and the stories we tell to explain them?

Frank Schirrmacher, Feuilleton Editor and Co-Publisher of Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung, has noticed that we are apparently now in a situation where modern technology is changing the way people behave, people talk, people react, people think, and people remember. Are we turning into a new species — informavores? — he asks.

W. Daniel Hillis goes a step further by asking if the Internet will, in the long run, arrive at a much richer infrastructure, in which ideas can potentially evolve outside of human minds? In other words, can we change the way the Internet thinks?

What do you think?


The Edge Annual Question — 2010

HOW IS THE INTERNET CHANGING THE WAY YOU THINK?


John Brockman
Editor & Publisher

via www.edge.org

If The Edge is new to you, give yourself a gift and

The Chinese Singularity | h+ Magazine

The Chinese Singularity

Written By: Ben Goertzel


Date Published: January 4, 2010


Image Courtesy of Raj Dye

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Dr. Hugo de Garis, the father of evolvable hardware and a redoubtable AI researcher, moved to China several years ago, and is now leading the Artificial Brain Lab at Xiamen University. He is convinced a Singularity in the vein of Vinge and Kurzweil is likely to occur later this century — and that China is the most likely place for human-level Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) and the other critical technologies underlying the Singularity to arise.

As Hugo puts it: “China has a population of 1.3 billion. The US has a population of 0.3 billion. China has averaged an economic growth rate of about 10% over the past 3 decades. The US has averaged 3%. The Chinese government is strongly committed to heavy investment into high tech. From the above premises, one can virtually prove, as in a mathematical theorem, that China in a decade or so will be in a superior position to offer top salaries (in the rich Southeastern cities) to creative, brilliant Westerners to come to build artificial brains — much more than will be offered by the US and Europe. With the planet‘s most creative AI researchers in China, it is then almost certain that the planet‘s first artificial intellect to be built will have Chinese characteristics.”

Is he right?

via hplusmagazine.com

A somewhat biased but no less Interesting perspective and some insights into Chinese attitudes, education, AI research and robotics going on in China today.  Well worth the time to read and ponder.

Your product may no longer be your product - Harold Jarche

When I started this blog six years ago I knew that I would “giving away” my thoughts for free. Some might say that’s all they’re worth. I’ve also kept the site ad free for a couple of reasons – ads don’t pay much, they get in the way of readers and I want people to focus on the conversations here or just get information they need. No ads sets me apart from many other sites, so that’s a good thing in the long run. I make my money mainly by consulting and less from speaking and writing. Externally, this blog is one big business card. Internally, it’s my knowledge base that informs my work. In addition, it’s a way to communicate with my peers.
I would surmise that ten years ago it was easier to sell a research report than it is now. There was less information available online for free. However, I think there is still a growing market for mass customization. That means a customized research report for me that’s different than one for somebody else. That’s pretty well what I sell: customized strategy & analysis for the specific context of each client. The challenge for Janet (and all of us in the custom information business) is figuring out the 90% that we should give away for free and the 10% that has market value and that we can charge for. 

via www.jarche.com

This posting by Harold Jarche, and the ensuing links and comments, has an interesting riff going on emerging business models and the tension between what is free and what is charged for.  Worth reading and contributing to.  Here's some of my thoughts;

One of the things I got from Kevin Kelly when he first wrote "New Rules for the New Economy" (still excellent reading IMHO) was that there is an inverse relationship between value and ease of copying/distributing. As with most, this is not an absolute rule but I think we are seeing this played out more and more and I find it helpful to think in of value being tied to uniqueness and that which can not be easily copied or distributed.

Along these lines, the notion of "mass customization" resonates strongly with me as it is the root of my incessant championing, along with my great friend and colleague Erik Duval, of mass personalization and The Snowflake Effect. However the other distinction which I find helpful is to see the transformation, metaphorically speaking, of the movement of value from nouns to verbs, or conceptually at least, from product like to more service like. 

Information is a noun/product when it is in the form of a report or document created on spec or in advance of a specific use or client. Whereas it is a verb/service when it is a collection of "just the right" information matched to a specific person/group and context. I would posit that information in and of itself has little to no value.  The value of information comes when it is Snowflaked or "just right" as in just the right information for just the right person(s) at just the right time in just the right context on just the right medium/device, etc.  

The key term in here is context.  IMHO we will continue to see context, contextual computing and contextual technology play an increasingly critical role as the value of the Snowflake Effect of getting it "just right" becomes more and more the focus of our economy and life.

Hearing the Future? The YouTube Piano | Click and Play!


via www.youtube.com

*  see also this earlier version using an image of a keyboard rather than video

What caught my eye (ear?) was not so much the on screen piano this provides but the clever use, or more correctly re-use and re-purposing of video and timelines.  This piano example by itself is a bit of a novelty and one which wears of soon.  However, start to imagine how you could use this for other applications? Think about a new level of interactivity that anyone can add to any of the increasing volume of video that is being posted and a new way of creating and re-using/re-purposing video content. Try using this on a touch enabled screen such as your iPhone or Android.


Perhaps it helps to think of this along the lines of "scanning" rather than needing to recreate from scratch, to almost instantly capture that which already exists and use this as the raw components to create whatever YOU have in mind. 

As the fidelity of audio and video continues to increase the gap between real/original and simulated/recorded lessens to the point of being indistinguishable.

For me, this is yet another example of how we are transforming from consumers to creators and to a society of "ProSumers" the likes of which McLuhan, Nevitt and the Tofflers so presciently described back in the 70's.  And of course I also see this as more examples of how we are also becoming a society of "Tearners" (Teacher/Learners)  

Give this video piano example a try and see if you start to hear the future as you play?

A Twitter LMS Starter Kit? Followbase: TechCrunch

Followbase: A Twitter CRM Starter Kit

by Roi Carthy on January 7, 2010

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Although there is no shortage of businesses large and small making great use of Twitter
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, many are still trying to make heads-and-tales of how to harness its power to communicate with existing and prospective clients. 

All you need to do to get started with Followbase is to connect it with a Twitter account. Twitter’s standard 3rd-party OAuth approval is used here to ensure the user is the actual account owner. Followbase then begins scanning the stream and funnels tweets into four customer service oriented topics: Mention, Ideas, Problems and Questions.

Tweets under each topic column are displayed with threaded replies as well as highlighting for the main account and additional team members. The columns are formed automatically, based on the usage of the “?” operator and keywords found in the body of the tweets. Examples include: idea, feature, suggestion, bug, issue, fail, etc.

via www.techcrunch.com

Not that I care for the term LMS (Learning Management System) or the notion of "managing" learning or learners, but for the purpose of expanding our thinking, looking beyond "learning technology" and looking ahead, I do wonder how well tools/services such as this example of FollowBase might meet many of the essential requirements typically assigned to an LMS? That is, for assisting people who are receiving training and education.  Could this article just as well have been titled "Followbase: a Twitter LMS Starter Kit"??  

What happens if you change the context from "customer support" to "learner support"?  "performance support"?  

Try reading the article with this in mind and see what YOU think?

What if the notion of display goes away?

Samsung notebook with transparent OLED display
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Samsung is showing off a notebook prototype with a 14 inch transparent OLED display. When the screen is off, it’s up to 40% transparent. And when it’s on, you can clearly see the display, but you can also see right through it

via www.liliputing.com


As usual, this is a bit hindered by putting something very new, transparent displays in this case, into a very old format such as the screen on a notebook, but think differently about this and you'll quickly start to see LOTS of applications.  As this transparent display technology becomes more common, imagine if:

  • All displays were to have the option of being transparent; you want it you got it.  Whatever % of transparency you want.  
  • this was used for the lenses into your eye glasses or sun glasses or contacts?
  • this was used to create windows, windshields, doors, walls, floors
  • this were implanted in a damaged eye
You get the idea.  Transparency adds augmented reality capabilities to any display so that anything we want can be layered on top of the "real stuff" we are seeing through the display.

Objects in this screen are closer than they appear!

Take it out far enough, my kind of timeframes, and I wonder and ponder things like:

  • What if every surface is a "display surface"?  Either through the materials it is made of or what it is painted/covered with.
  • What if we seldom see anything other than through a lens? (embedded or worn)
  • What if the notion of a "display" goes away?  What if we just look and see?
  • What if we think about surfaces and loose the distinction of 3D vs 2D?

Again, if we are not equally fascinated and frightened I don't think we are paying attention!  Ask more questions!  Ponder What If?